Falling entry-level hiring is read as early evidence of AI displacement. The post-pandemic shift to remote work fits the pattern better than the capability frontier does.
UK data does not yet show the sharp disruption that AI displacement would produce. Employment in the occupations most exposed to AI has grown faster than in less exposed ones, the opposite of what a displacement story predicts.
The erosion of the first rung on the career ladder invites a simpler reading: AI is already cutting opportunities for young people. This piece argues the post-pandemic shift to working from home explains more of that erosion, and that conflating the two misreads what is happening to entry-level work.
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